Scenario Discontinuity Analysis: Cargo and Package Delivery August 2017
About This Report
How will cargo- and package-delivery services integrate new technologies such as artificial intelligence, driverless vehicles, human-augmentation solutions, and advanced robots? Will there be end-to-end, fully-automated services that take cargo from port to person? To what extent will human-augmentation technologies, robot taxes, anti-robot sentiment, and other factors help keep human-based–logistics labor competitive? This Scenario Discontinuity Analysis addresses these and many other key issues that could have a major impact on where cargo and package delivery fits within the driverless future.
This report is available to sponsors of Driverless Futures Phase 2.
Table of Contents
Presentation Outline | 2 |
Overview: | |
Driverless + Logistics | 3 |
Online-to-Offline Markets | 4 |
Future Directions | 5 |
Exploration of Key Uncertainties | 6 |
Technology Development | 7 |
Regulations | 8 |
Competitive Landscape | 9 |
Markets and Applications | 10 |
Demand Factors | 11 |
Required Resources | 12 |
Scenarios and Opportunities | 13 |
Scenario A: Open Throttle | 14 |
Opportunity Examples | 15 |
Scenario B: Systems of Systems | 16 |
Opportunity Examples | 17 |
Scenario C: Whatever Works | 18 |
Opportunity Examples | 19 |
Cross-Scenario Implications | 20 |
Detailed Opportunity Examples: | |
Opportunity: AR Tech Provider | 21 |
Opportunity: The Smartest Cities | 22 |
Opportunity: Multirole Robots | 23 |
About SBI | 24 |