Scenario Discontinuity Analysis: Security and Privacy July 2016

About This Report

The outcome of highly uncertain security and privacy issues may determine what forms of vehicle automation will find success in the future, while also giving rise to new product and service opportunities. This Scenario Discontinuity Analysis fully explores the various ways in which automated-vehicle security might develop in the future, and how such developments may impact (or be impacted by) end users' privacy rights and expectations. The report also focuses on the critical role that governments could play as sources of—and potential solutions to—advanced persistent threats against future automated vehicle systems.

This report is available to sponsors of Driverless Futures Phase 2.

Table of Contents

Security and Privacy Overview 2
Key Uncertainties Surrounding Security and Privacy 3
High Complexity, High Risks 4
Known Vulnerabilities 5
Privacy Risks and Concessions 6
Diverse Motives and Payoffs 7
Many Alternatives, Many Tradeoffs 8
Potential Development Pathways for Security and Privacy 9
Scenario A: High-Walled Gardens 10
Key Concepts from Scenario A 11
Signposts from Scenario A 12
Scenario B: Pulling Together 13
Key Concepts from Scenario B 14
Signposts from Scenario B 15
Scenario C: Risk-Aversion 16
Key Concepts from Scenario C 17
Signposts from Scenario C 18
Key Takeaways 19
About SBI 20